Two Factions At War to Decide America’s Future: Is Trump’s America First Already Struggling?
Donald Trump, who has outperformed and beaten all the attempts of his opponents, has not completely won his goal to make America great again just yet. He has won the election in both the electoral votes and the popular vote, defying criticism from the mainstream media and establishment politicians in both the Democratic Party and the Republicans.
The US election has come close to a political world war, with every possible factor at stake. Trump has now emerged victorious in the first phase of becoming the 47th President of the United States of America. The election was broadcast live on nearly every mainstream media channel, including social media, which made it much harder for his opponents to manipulate the results or obscure the process.
His opponents tried everythingâfrom leveraging the legal system to exert pressure on those close to him, to pushing for nation-wide voting without consistent voter ID verification. Interestingly, states where Democrats performed well tended to have lenient or absent voter ID laws, raising questions about the credibility of the results.
Today, on November 11th, Trump and his core team have entered the second phase of this political war: maneuvering through the offline and shadowy realms of politics, which are often hidden from ordinary citizens. Trumpâs strategy now involves placing âAmerica Firstâ candidates in key positions that eluded him during his previous term in office (2017-2021). However, heâs on establishment turf now, where heâs up against political insiders accustomed to exerting influence behind closed doors.
Although Trump effectively leveraged his entertainment background to connect with the public and broadcast his message freely on social media platforms like X and TikTok, the world of âdark politicsâ is very different. This arena operates without the transparency of social media and is proving to be an uphill battle for Trump and his America First agenda.
One challenge lies in Trumpâs attempt to balance diplomacy with filling government positions. On the one hand, he must navigate demands from foreign-policy experts and institutions that favour establishment figures. On the other, heâs determined to position loyal America First candidates in key roles. This balancing act is revealing where his alliesâ loyalties truly lie. At this phase, Trump may once again find himself disappointed by those in his outer circle, who gained his trust only to undermine his policy goals at a critical moment.
Despite Trumpâs popularity, figures like Elon Musk and Tucker Carlsonâwho possess influence and media platformsâare limited in how much they can expose about these dark political processes. The reasons for this are likely complex; it’s possible they either do not want to or are unable to shed light on how the political establishment actually functions. The America First movement, which is relatively small, is pitted against a deeply rooted establishment, one that has permeated American institutions and government bodies for decades. This entrenched power, dating back to major political shifts like the post-JFK era, poses a significant challenge to Trumpâs ambitions.
A recent example of establishment influence can be seen in Trumpâs selection of Elise Stefanik as the United Nations ambassador. While Stefanik is known for her alignment with Trumpâs policies in some areas, the choice suggests a need for Trump to compromise or that his power is being subtly curtailed. Establishment Republicans are simultaneously trying to limit Trumpâs influence further, particularly by vying for Senate leadership positions that could either support or obstruct America First policies. If Senator Rick Scott wins his current Senate battle, Trump would secure a crucial win for his agenda. However, if Scott loses, the establishment would have an influential figure positioned to challenge and dilute Trumpâs initiatives from within.
As Trump fills other top positions, observers will be scrutinizing each choice closely, knowing that the Trump administration may have factions within itself. If the establishment can install its allies in critical roles, it would create a third phase of resistance to slow Trumpâs agenda. In this phase, anti-America First factions would work to obstruct key policies, block legislative progress, and even target Trump-appointed officials to discredit or replace them, a tactic that could slowly undermine Trumpâs agenda over the next several years.
For Trumpâs supporters, the greatest frustration is likely a feeling of helplessness. The intricacies of political appointments and bureaucratic infighting are opaque, leaving supporters unsure of how to help or even understand the full scope of the struggle. The stakes, however, extend far beyond Washington. What unfolds in the coming months will not only shape the future of America but also send powerful ripples across the world stage.
Should Trumpâs America First vision gain traction, the ripple effects could realign global alliances, impact international trade dynamics, and redefine U.S. foreign policy priorities in regions like the Middle East, Europe, and the Indo-Pacific. Countries around the world are closely watching this internal American conflict, knowing it will ultimately affect their own economies, security strategies, and political landscapes. Allies accustomed to traditional U.S. diplomacy may need to adjust, while rivals, too, are recalibrating their expectations.
For supporters, this battle isnât just about domestic policyâit represents a fight for what America stands for and how it engages with the rest of the world.
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WRITTEN BY:
Muad Zaki
Director of Democracy & Transparency Initiative,
AMEC
*Disclaimer: The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of any organization, institution, or group with which the author is affiliated.